Eagle Daily Investor

Has President Obama Had Any Impact on the Stock Market’s Success?

U.S. President Barack Obama

I received a note the other day from a social Democrat, who wrote:

“When Obama came to power the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 7,900, today it is over 17,000.

When he came to power, the Federal Budget deficit was 11% of gross domestic product (GDP), today it is 2.8%.

When he came to power, the economy was in a free fall and losing 8 million jobs, today it is growing and all the lost jobs have been recovered.

We are poised today to become the greatest energy producer in the world and North America will produce more oil and gas than the entire Middle East. Pennsylvania alone by next year will produce more gas than Qatar. It is estimated that the economy will grow 3.5-4% next year fueled in great part by the energy boom.

Inflation is low, interest rates are low, credit is becoming plentiful. Tourism has broken all records. What is it that makes you dislike him so much?”

It’s a good question. We must not let partisan politics interfere with our view of the economy.

Certainly, under Obama, the stock market has done well. In fact, when Democrats have been in the Oval Office, Wall Street tends to do better.

But that’s a superficial analysis. This time the recovery on Wall Street is due more to the Federal Reserve’s easy-money policies than the Executive Office of the President’s fiscal policies or leadership.

The energy boom in the United States has little to do with the Obama Administration. In fact, the White House has been trying to thwart the fracking-technology boom through Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulations, etc.

Certainly, fiscal policy has improved lately, with the budget deficit falling to under $400 billion this year. But that’s due to gridlock and the Republicans controlling the House more than responsible spending by the President.

Yes, the official unemployment rate has declined under Obama, but that’s largely because more adults and teenagers are dropping out of the labor force. The labor participation rate is at a 30-year low.

Moreover, ObamaCare has caused a huge increase in part-time work. ObamaCare mandates that employers provide health insurance for those working 30 hours a week or more. Consequently, employers are hiring more part-time workers who therefore earn less money than when they worked more hours.

In short, I’d say that the stock market has done well despite Obama and the Democrats.

You Blew it! Is Michael Moore a Hypocrite?

Like Al Gore, Paul Krugman and other critics of free-market capitalism, Michael Moore profits handsomely on the system he attacks. Moore is famous for taking the working man’s side in various documentaries criticizing corporate CEOs and big business. Those films include “Roger and Me” (about GM) and “Capitalism, a Love Story.”

In a recent divorce settlement, it was learned that Moore has a 10,000 square-foot house in the same neighborhood as Madonna and Bruce Willis. Moore owns multiple homes (nine) around the country. And he is reportedly worth more than $50 million.

On CNN in 2012, Moore vehemently denied he was a rich man. Pierce Morgan asked him point blank:

“I need you to sit here and say ‘I’m in the 1 percent.’” stated Morgan.

“Of course I’m not, how can I be in the 1 percent?” responded Moore.

“Because you’re worth millions.”

Moore can no longer be in denial.

To be fair, I have nothing against people making lots of money, even in criticizing the system. But if you are going to be a critic, you might have a better case if you live a low-profile lifestyle and give most of your money away to causes you support. I admire people like Warren Buffett, who still lives in a modest middle-class house in Omaha, and the late Sam Walton, who drove an old pick-up truck around Arkansas.

But one thing you can say about Michael Moore: He still dresses and looks like a poor slob. He would fit right into the classic TV series, “The Beverly Hillbillies.”

In case you missed it, I encourage you to read my e-letter column from last week about how even investment bulls can get a good idea from the bears. I also invite you to comment in the space provided below.

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About Mark Skousen

Mark Skousen, Ph. D., is the editor of the monthly investment newsletter, Forecasts & Strategies, as well as three weekly trading services, Skousen High-Income Alert, Hedge Fund Trader and Fast Money Alert. He also is a professional economist, investment expert, university professor, and author of more than 25 books. He earned his Ph. D. in monetary economics at George Washington University in 1977. He has taught economics and finance at Columbia Business School, Columbia University, Grantham University, Barnard College, Mercy College, Rollins College and as a Presidential Fellow at Chapman University. He also has been a consultant to IBM, Hutchinson Technology and other Fortune 500 companies.

View all posts by Mark Skousen →

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